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Saudi Arabia's real GDP is projected to grow by 2.8% in 2025, driven by increased private consumer spending and investment, in line with Vision 2030's diversification goals. Key projects like NEOM and the Red Sea Project are set to enhance sectors such as tourism and renewable energy.However, risks include potential global economic slowdowns and a stronger US dollar, which could impact oil demand and local industry competitiveness. Despite these challenges, the country maintains a financial buffer through its sovereign wealth funds, including the Public Investment Fund.
Warren Buffett is expected to report his ninth consecutive quarter as a net seller of stocks when Berkshire Hathaway files its Form 13F on February 14. This trend has resulted in a cumulative net selling of $166.2 billion, increasing the company's cash reserves to a record $325.2 billion. Despite his long-term optimism, Buffett's recent actions reflect a cautious approach in the current market environment.
PremiaLab has appointed Mark Findlay as Chief Revenue Officer to enhance its Data & Risk offerings. With over 20 years of experience in risk management and derivatives trading, Findlay will drive business development for the fintech platform, which serves institutional clients managing over $20 trillion in assets. His leadership is expected to strengthen PremiaLab's position in providing advanced risk solutions for quantitative investment strategies.
The Swiss stock market reduced its losses as midday approached, following a decline triggered by Donald Trump's renewed trade war through tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, raising fears of a global economic downturn. In macroeconomic news, China's manufacturing activity slowed, with the PMI dropping to 50.1, while Eurozone inflation rose to 2.5%. In Switzerland, property prices increased by 1.7% in Q4, and the services sector showed strong growth, contrasting with the struggling industrial sector.
UBS analysts have outlined 10 potential surprises for 2025 that could significantly impact markets. Key scenarios include tech underperforming despite a forecast of mild outperformance, the S&P 500 potentially surging 25% if bubble conditions are met, and US bond yields rising to 5.5%. Other surprises involve Japan outperforming, a massive Rmb15 trillion fiscal stimulus in China, oil prices dropping to $55 per barrel, and a resurgence of euro break-up fears.
Christian Nolting of Deutsche Bank forecasts that US equities will continue to be the "center of gravity," projecting the S&P 500 to reach 6,500 by 2025, despite higher valuations. He attributes this optimism to American exceptionalism and the potential growth driven by artificial intelligence, although he warns of persistent inflation risks that may keep interest rates elevated.
Concerns over punitive tariffs are influencing gold prices as global leaders gather in Davos this week to discuss pressing issues. Investors are also focused on US jobless claims data on Thursday and purchasing managers' indices on Friday, which may provide insights into future monetary policy. The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting is expected to maintain current interest rates amid these developments.
The DAX has surpassed 21,000 points for the first time ahead of Donald Trump's inauguration, drawing investor attention to his upcoming policies. As Trump settles into the White House, focus will shift to the ZEW index on Tuesday and key economic data, including weekly jobless claims and purchasing managers' indices later in the week.
As the fourth quarter 2024 earnings season begins, UBS Global Wealth Management anticipates S&P 500 earnings growth of 7-9%, driven by large tech firms benefiting from AI advancements. However, risks such as a strong dollar and potential trade tariffs could impact forecasts. Despite high valuations, the macroeconomic backdrop supports continued equity market gains, with a projected S&P 500 target of 6,600 by year-end 2025.
The Dow Jones surged 700 points following a softer US inflation reading, recovering to 43,300, with a target of 45,000 in sight. The S&P 500 is approaching key resistance levels near 6000, while the Nikkei 225 remains stagnant below 39,000, despite strong buying support around 38,000.
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The information provided herein is generated by experimental artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only.
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